Friday, August 17, 2007

Michigan vs. Appalachian State Preview


The first in a series of previews to come before every game- different contributors may do it different weeks so you can get many different perspectives on our team and our season. Enjoy!

Overview: Many people rolled their eyes and lamented the move to add App State to the schedule, but I think this might be an exciting game to see. If you are going to add a 1-AA to the schedule (I am boycotting the new ridiculous naming system), it may as well be the 1-AA champion. Besides, 1-AA’s aren’t always cupcake teams (just ask Colorado), nor are they willing to roll over just because they aren’t SUPPOSED to win. Remember, this is the team that ripped off 14 straight to become back-to-back 1-AA Champions last year (in an exciting playoff, I might add).

That said, if Michigan doesn’t bury them it will be shameful. I do not care who they are, a 1-AA has to be seeing our backups in the fourth quarter. However, this game should be more interesting than people think and better than just a fluff match- this is a championship team and they will be out to prove it.

Appalachian Offense versus Michigan Defense:
If you are looking for the side of the ball where Michigan might struggle, it is against this Mountaineer unit. They return a very mobile quarterback in Armanti Edwards who, entering his sophomore year, will be very dangerous even after the departure of his leading receiver last year, Will Mayfield. With play resembling a Tavaris Jackson from Alabama State but with a smaller arm, Edwards only threw for 2251 yards last season but ran for an additional 1153 yards and scored 15 touchdowns on the ground and another 15 in the air. The difficulty Michigan has faced in recent years against mobile quarterbacks may cause our front seven to be fooled by App. State’s frequent utilization of their quarterback as a dual threat.

That isn’t to say their running back position has much of a slouch either. Running back Kevin Richardson gained 1676 yards on slightly over 300 carries, yielding a 5.6 yard average. If Richardson can get rolling, it will further stretch a defense that needs to consistently hit the point of attack if it is to succeed. I have always felt that Michigan’s success on defense was not based primarily on the talent of its players, but the attacking scheme put together by defensive coordinator Ron English. It hides it’s deficiencies in coverage by confusing stunts and blitzes that, if unsuccessful, can lead to a pitch and catch that is nearly impossible for our suspect secondary to stop.

This side of the ball will be won by closing the running lanes of either Richardson or Edwards to keep the defense from being tricked by the option, play action or draws, or being forced to back off the line and get away from what Michigan's defense does best.

Michigan Offense versus Appalachian State Defense
As for Michigan, there is no reason to expect anything less than lightning from Chad Henne, Mike Hart, and Mario Manningham. While a consistent tight end has yet to come forward, the skill positions are stacked for the Wolverines, and our offense has been the talk of the country. However, this is all contingent on Michigan’s continuing to attack the defense both with a consistent running game and the willingness to attack the field. Last year Michigan was notorious for getting 7-10 point leads and then simply running Mike Hart up the gut for minimal gains rather than outgunning the defense when it was on its heels (see Penn State, Ball State, USC as prime examples from last season). Carr’s teams have rarely lived up to their offensive potential on a consistent basis, Appalachian State should be a good barometer of what Michigan fans can expect as far as keeping the foot on the gas.

That said, Mike Hart and the Michigan offensive line against the App State defensive line should tell the story of the game. The Mountaineers have lost their 2-time consensus All-American defensive end Marques Murrell, and find themselves largely depleted of defensive tackles with the graduation of starters Omarr Byrom and Daniel Orlebar. If Michigan can attack the center of the line and force the talented App State linebackers to fill those holes, it should put single coverage on at least one wideout or tight end.

Michigan could use to have those corners on islands, too. Jerome Touchstone and Justin Woazeah have started 81 of 82 games for the Mountaineers, bringing experience that will make life difficult for Michigan’s talented group of receivers if they have to face them with safety or linebacker help.

Intangibles:
It seems as though Dusty Hill (of ZZ Top fame) has found a new job in Boone, North Carolina. I mean look at this mascot, it looks like Grizzly Adams as a Muppet. That by itself should be enough to tip Michigan over the edge regardless of talent.

Any championship program goes into any game thinking it can win. App State will be no different. The only problem is that Michigan is aiming to be a championship program too.

Outcome:
Michigan wins, 38-17 with Wolverine backups playing in the fourth (who might give up a score and slow our offense down).

49 comments:

brian said...

It is very complimentary of you to think that Appalachian will score 17pts on Michigan. If they score more that 10pts, then the game is a "win" in the minds of all Appalachian fans and all fans of FCS Football. We really hope that no one gets hurt, that we get a favorable showing in the media and that all Michigan fans are pulling for us to win a historic 3 in a row NCAA Division I National Championship - all you big guys have to remember that the NCAA only recognizes on Division I National Champion in 2006 and that is Appalachian State -Florida just get recognized by the AP, USA Today and their BCS cronies.

Anonymous said...

Just want to say that I hope this game will be a learning experience for us and agree with Brian that hopefully we will gain some fans for our run at 3 in a row. I am a die hard Appalachian fan but will be sitting in the midst of the Michigan fans hoping that it will be a fun experience and that we can all have a good time.

Appstate said...

not to contradict you brian, well yes it is to contradict you, but like the blogger said, championship programs expect to win. Scoring ten points will not be a "win" in my eyes, and shouldn't be a "win" in anyones eyes. I will love my team no matter what the outcome is, but I expect a win (a real win that is, not some imaginary moral victory, we will leave those to the Westerns of the world).

Anonymous said...

Good write up. Very fair and accurate I think. Leaving for Michigan in the morning and I can't wait. Just want to say that no realistic app fans are expecting a win, however nobody associated with the program will feel gratified by scoring 10 points. See ya saturday!!!

Anonymous said...

Appalachian is no slouch but we are not on par with the likes of Michigan. A blowout would be very surprising to me. App St. has a couple of very dangerous options at QB and RB. Our DL is probably what is going to doom us in this one.

Will said...

I am an App State grad and have been following the program for the past 13 years. I can't tell you how excited I am about seeing them play in the Big House. As far as the game, no one down here expects them to win, but expect a spirited effort. ASU is well coached, generally commits few penalties and turnovers and is good in the kicking game. If they can play this way on Saturday, the should be able to keep the score reasonable. Also, many of these players played in ASU's game at LSU two seasons ago, so they have some experience with a big time stage to draw upon. All in all, I'd be thrilled with 38-17.

Will - ASU class of 1997

the gipper said...

it is foolish of Michigan to play App State- if they loose - overrated will be added to their mascot (as in Overrated Wolvereenes and overrated big 10) if they win it's a so what. Last January, I read several outraged comments about how Michigan should get a rematch with OSU for the national championship because they were the only team that had a chance. I guess it's lucky that Michigan doesn't play in the SEC where they would be lucky to go 500. I hope ASU can stay in this game until the half and give Michigan a chance to fold. I hope the real message is never never give opponents a chance to be real historical heros. Ever hear od David?

Mountaineer said...
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Anonymous said...

All the App St fans on here talking about how gratefull they are to get a chance to lose to Michigan needs walk into the Mountaneer locker room monday morning and apologise to every single player. App st 34 Michigan 32

Anonymous said...

greatest upset in college football history!!! now all i'm worried about is what Boone is going to look like in the morning. think i'll put my car in the garage and go to bed early tonight.

Anonymous said...

As much as I hate to admit it App St deserves all the hype they are getting in the national media for there win over Michigan. I live in Asheville NC and I'm a BIG Western Carolina University fan. That being said. Great job App. Looking forward to seeing you in Cullowee this year!

Anonymous said...
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Steve said...
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Anonymous said...

BRIAN, YOU NEED TO GET ANOTHER HOBBY BESIDES FOOTBALL, MAYBE IF YOU TOOK UP CROCHETING, YOU MIGHT GET MORE SATISFACTION, HUH HUH HUH HUH UHU HUH

Anonymous said...

As an App State fan, let me say I am proud of my team beyond description, but Ihave to say I am a bit ashamed of some of the previous posters on here and their lack of class. Fans, learn a lesson from our players and coaches: win with class and humility. Michigan gave us a great opportunity by scheduling us (others may not do us the favor after this). The preview on this blog was well-written, and fair. The Michigan season is ruined now and they are hurting. It does no good to act like a bunch of 10 year-olds on here.

formerrabidwolverinefan said...

Im debating on wheather to hang myself shoot myself or just go stand in Detroit traffic.

Anonymous said...

any division 1A school looking to find a 1AA school to play to get ready for the rest of the season shouldn't pick the #1 division 1AA school in the country. that statement is not lacking class it's just a fact.

Anonymous said...
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Anonymous said...

I dont know what the big deal is about this upset. It usually happens at least once every year to some school. It was just Michigans turn.

GATOR CHOMP said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...

I'm an app alumni and think it was mostly a case of the spread offense and the way Michigan's D set-up for that...This offense creates problems for a lot of teams. That being said I believe Oregon is in for a rude awakening this weekend- then you've got Notre Dame.... I still believe all isn't ruined in Ann Arbor- Mike Hart is something else....I'd be shocked if Michigan doesnt get at least 8 wins this year. Thanks again for the opportunity to come and play in such a storied environment and prepare for our run at 3-straight championships. Good Luck! I'll be pulling for you!

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